Overall the
budget is a good, taking care of all the sections of society.
The schemes launched for taking care of a “Senior
Citizen Dignity” by providing for savings instruments
are welcome.
The education cess of 2% is welcome. Professor J D Agarwal
(Director, IIF) had suggested the same to the then FM,
Dr. Manmohan Singh, in (FE July 22, 1991). This would
facilitate more growth of educational facilities and empowerment
of the masses. Some of the other facilities like enhancement
of educational loan without collaterals for post graduate
education would enrich the excess.
In agriculture, the honourable FM, has tried to enhance
the productivity side with the launche of new schemes
to provide for diversification, have sustained growth
of 7-8%, involvement of private initiative, water management,
flood control and credit availability. However there has
been no comment on the possibilities of revenue generation
or agricultural market enhancement to sell our agro /
agro-based products internationally.
The Kissan Credit Card / credit enhancement schemes would
facilitate growth and agriculture. The suggestion for
single market for agriculture products is very useful.
However the government may want to initiate contacts with
neighboring countries and in the Asian region for export
of Indian agricultural product and import of agriculture
technology to bring growth to the sector. The agricultural
insurance / weather insurance would facilitate reducing
losses in the agriculture. (also suggested by Prof. Aman
Agarwal, Professor of Finance, Indian Institute of Finance,
2001, 2002)
The banking sector has been facilitated by relaxing norms
to invest in the capital market. This would enhance liquidated
both in bank and capital markets. The increase in the
shareholding of FDIs in Insurance (49%) / Aviation (49%)
/ Telecomm (74%) would facilitate more foreign exchange
reserve generation and technological improvement within
these sectors.
The Food Swap Program against the food shops is welcomed.
The implementation of the program is a big challenge.
The Debt Swap Scheme for the states would facilitate reduce
fiscal deficit from around 10.1% (Centre and State combined).
Finance Minister’s introduction of Tax Incentive
schemes and No tax for people earning upto Rs. 1 lakh
is welcomed.
The reduction of custom duties and excise would facilitate
more growth opportunity and empowerment of the masses.
However they would need to see that the benefit is duly
transferred the masses by the industry.
The statement of the Finance Minister dream to wipe out
revenue deficit by 2008-09 seems to be over optimistic.
The Ministry of Finance and the RBI should see that the
inflation rate is kept under control around 5% and that
India has a sustained GDP growth rate of about 7.5 % to
8.5 % during next 3 years. Also they need to see that
the fiscal and revenue deficit is kept under control /
limits keeping in mind the socio-economic upliftment of
the society. It is vital to note that most of the developed
nations worldwide have a fiscal deficit of 5 to 6%, so
for developing economy like India a Fiscal Deficit of
6 % to 7 % is sustainable.
The budget will give boost to industry and generate confidence
amongst the masses and hence bring forth the desired result,
if implemented and governed effectively. The budget is
expected to raise the standard of living of the common
man.