While delivering
Keynote Speech at 4th International Conference in Finance,
CHILE, Prof.
J. D. Agarwal, Chairman & Director, Indian Institute
of Finance, stressed the urgent need in developing
countries to resort to volatility forecasting in financial
markets. Forecasting can facilitate necessary
symptoms for possible volatility and help the countries
to take necessary steps before the crisis deepens said
Prof. Agarwal.
According to him, Volatility in the International Financial
Markets is a natural and inherent phenomenon. He feels
too much volatility is bad but at the same time no volatility
is equally bad. Volatility can be managed & handled
well with suitable regulation and supervision and developing
appropriate financial systems. Financial systems play
an important role in developing financial markets &
in turn in promoting industrialization and growth feels
Prof. Agarwal. Strong Financial systems with strong financial
institutional framework, internationally, regionally and
in the home countries, is the key factor for proper financial
development & managing volatility in the financial
markets.
According to him, all financial developments are subject
to high degree of risk of varying nature. Financial Developments
with emergence of e-finance has its own risks different
from the risks generally associated with financial systems.
Prof. Agarwal advocated the urgent need to devise a mechanism
to unearth the swindled money, by politicians, corrupt
bureaucrats, drug traffickers, industry through capital
flight, and militancy outfits, which is deposited in international
banks, denying the use of such money in the developmental
process of such countries where from it is being swindled.
The world community need to consider the issues involving
International Development Cooperation, Restructuring IMF,
International Borrowing and Lending, Private Capital Flows,
Portfolio Equity Flows, Short-term capital movements,
Capital Account Convertibility and Domestic Resource Management,
Strengthening banking and financial systems, more seriously
to match them with the needs and requirements of home
countries, regions and the world economy said Prof. Agarwal.
Prof. Agarwal also emphasised the need to improve the
institutional framework in which financial markets operate
world wide, adoption of codes of conduct of fiscal, monetary
and financial policies, introducing transparency, forecasting
volatility in the financial markets, introducing sound
principles of corporate governance as well as governance,
improving information related to financial markets, Strengthening
prudential regulation, and adopting minimum international
standards in these areas. He strongly feels that there
should be adequate representation of developing countries
in evolving the international standards and codes of conduct.