Economic
Survey 2002-2003 released today preseted a very realistic
outlook of the eonomy for the year 2002-03 as compared
to the mid year review which war full of shokes and presented
a very pessimistic view feels Dr, J.D. Agrawal, Chairman
of, India institute of Finance , Economic survey as clearly
outlined the achievement of india's economy during the
year 2002-03 and fives to all those who have had apprehensions
about the performence of India's economy, feel Dr. Agarwal.
Accroding to
Prof. Agarwal the froth rate of 5.6 per cent or 2001-02
fores reserves for 17 million doller, Rupee gaining strength
by 2 per cent, easy liquidity / cash reserve ratio droping
below 5 per cent , BOP record surplus an increase in exprots
of Automobiles, Software Gems and Jewellery are positive
features of the survey. The infrastructure development
particularly construction of 10,00 rural roads addiotin
of 24 million tone refining rate being up to 17 per cent
will make India march Forward at a faster rate, according
Dr, Agarwal.
Although a
consolidated fiscal deficit of 10per cent of GDP and Center
fiscal deficit proportion of GDP estimated 5.9 per cent
2001-02, may be considered to be high and a cause of concern
yet for a developing country like India where a larger
investement is to be made in building up infrastructure
and the capacity of the eonomy and in the current economic
scenario of low inflation of 3% and high saving rate of
24% and BOP surplus it should not cause worries, according
to Dr. Agarwal.
However, what
is of serious concerns is the increase in the share of
consumption expenditure in total center expenditure to
more then 23 persent in 2002-03.While the government and
the Finance Minister have been seized with this problem
and made government and the last budget about the controling
centre government expenditure yet it has gone up, according
to Dr. Agarwal. There are large areas of wasteful expenditure
in which effective step should have been taken so as to
reduce the fiscal deficit both of the Center and the State
Government , accroding to Dr. Agarwal.
There wan an
urgent need during the year to control food, fertilizer
and petroleum subsides particulary after dismantling APM
in the petroleum sector and food.
Dr. Agarwal
strongly feels that the government should have taken effective
steps to allow shortage for captial receipts. Accroding
to Dr. Agarwal there wan no justification for higher budgetary
support to UTI to benefit few million subscriber of US
64 at the cost of rest of the country , which include
26 per cent people living below the poverty line.
Dr. Agrwal
appreciated Economic Survey stating that the 10th Five
Year Plan annual average groth rate fixed at 8% is contrast
to what was stated in mid year review .Dr. Agarwal has
also welcomed the issues and perfomance outline in the
economic survey and te government's intention necessary
steps in that direction.