The
Finance Minister has given a new direction through his
budget but it will take some time to reap the fruits of
its benefits, said Dr. R.K. Pandey, Former Executive Director,
Delhi Stock Exchange, in seminar on Union Budget 1997:
Impact on Captital Market organized by Indian Institute
of Finance.
According
to Dr. Pandey, although the Finance Minister has given
some major benefits in his budget, eg. 5% deduction in
corporate taxation, but the benefit of corporate taxation
will only be realized if the profits of the companies
go up. While replying to a question about why the market
has shown upward trend immediately after the budget and
thecefornt downward trend. Dr. Pandey explained this phase
of the capital market as the correction phase. He said
that wide fluctuations was due to short term investment,
but if one compares the index of Junuary'97 to the present
index there is certainly an upward trend in the market.
Dr.
Pandey also commented that the situation of the secondary
market is fine but there is greate uncertainty whether
funds will be available in the primary market or not,
Since at the moment there is a pressure of with drawal
of funds rather than injection of funds.
While
speaking on this occasion, Prof.
J.D.Agarwal, Director, Indian Institute of Finance
said, the sensex during the month of March is likely to
range between 3700 to 4200. The initial positive reaction
immediately after the budget was due to aparent sops given
to the corporate sector. The budget was appreciated and
admired for removal of surcharge, reduction in corporate
tax rates, tex rates and abolition of tax on divided incomes,
where as the actual incidence was not visible aparently.
The fall in the sensex witnessed recently is due to a
more careful analysis of a budget and its likely inference
on the profitability of corporat tax yet 10% tax on dividend
distribution, 5% tax on transport services, an increase
in labour cost due to additional liability on provident
fund from 8.33% to 10% negatively affect the corporate
world commented Dr. Agarwal.