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IIF/1997 22th February,1997
 
No Justification for Raising Petrol Prices
 

There is no justification for raising the prices of petrol and other oils due to heavy oil pool deficit, estimated to be about Rs. 18,000 crore, states Prof. J.D. Agarwal, Director, Indian Institute of Finance . According to him, the massive oil pool deficit has been a result of wrong estimates with regard to the volume of crude oil imported from abroad in 1996-97 rather than international price of oil.The current prices of petrol in the country were originally fixed when the internationl prices of petrol were at a level of US $ 42/- per barrel. The petrol prices were of course been revised upward in between as well due to oil pool deficit.

When the internationl prices of petrol fell down to half i.e. US & 22 per barrel, the Govt. Should have reduced the petrol prices in the country. But the Govt. did not so and acted as profiteer, exploiting the inelastic demand of petrol and the the helpless consumers stated Dr. Agarwal. According to Dr. Agarwal , the whopping increase in oil import bill which may be estimated to be about US $ 10 bn. in 1997-98, would not due to the rising prices but because of consumption and therefore has nothing to do with the retail pricing of petrol. It is likely that the international crude oil prices might fall further US $ 19 per barrel during 1997.The Ministry of petroleum should generate more realistic estimates about the quantity of hhe oil to be imported. The massive oil pool deficit is the reflection of the inefficiency of the Govt. regarding the estimates generated by them in the past and also regulating the oil imports. The Govt.Should take serious note of such abnormal variances, particulary when the international price of crude oil during the year has stagnated, urged Dr. Agarwal.

Moreover Dr. Agarwal feels that the increase in petrol and oil prices would fuel inflation and bring down the quality of life of people. It will be an indirect tax on the pockets of all without exception which will only promote inefficiency on the part of those who are connected with oil industry. Dr. Agarwal has urged upon the Govt. to adopt a more appropriate acccounting system, where in the pricing og products like oil should be done on cost plus basis, exactly the way industrial products are priced in a market driven economic system. Dr. Agarwal strongly feels that the objective of a Govt. is maximization of welfare of people in general rather than creating state monopolies, breeding inefficiency and exploiting citizens.

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