| IIF/1997 |
28th January,1997 |
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| Abnormal
Capital Flight to USA |
There
has been a capital flight of U.S. $ 11.3 billion from India
to USA, through abnormal trade pricing, ( i.e. $ 5.8 billion
during 1994 and of $ 5.5 bilion during 1995) says a study published
in the latest issue of Finance India, the quarterly
Jouranl of finance published by Institute of Finance, by three
economists Prof. John S. Zdanowicz, Prof. William W. Welch and
Pror. Simon J. Pak, of Florida International University, Miami,
USA.
The
development of the global price matrix and the analysis of India's
trade with US has resulted in estimation of significant capital
outflow through overinvoiced imports and under invoiced exports.
The
study compared the average price of products imported to India
from United states with average prices for products with identical
characteristics purchased from United states by the world during
1994 & 1995. With a similar study in export transactions
between India and US during the same year show the degree of
over invoiced imports and under invoiced export. Recognising
that there could be different degree of heterogeneityu of products
being imported into or exported from a particular country during
these years, the study has analysed transaction prices assuming
differnt degree of commodity heterogeneity. The study also considered
the dollar value of price deviation from average US/world prices
for every India-US import and export transaction prices for
all the products. The study while comparing India's import prices
form the United State, to average and adjusted world import
prices from the United State , showed that the value of over
invoiced India imports range from $ 660.8 million to $481.7
million during 1994 and $ 840.4 million to 587.1 million during
1995. Under similar comparison of India export prices to United
State, the value of under invoiced India export prices range
from $ 5232.8 million to $ 1593.6 million during 1994 and $
4743.9 million to 1214.0 million during 1995.
The
researchers also studied the impact of abnormal pricing in specific
product categories. The dollar value of income shifted by India's
over invoiced imports during 1994 and 1995 were determined by
summing the dollar value of deviations from all transactions
in all product classifications, that were greater than 150%
of the US/World average import prices During 1994 and 1995,
32% and 23% of the income shifted through over invoiced imports
was due to over pricing in twenty five product classification,
during the same years.
The
study also points out that there are a lot of benefits of detecting
abnormal internationl trade prices. The minimization of capital
flight will provide the additional capital necessary for investment
in the country's private and public sector. The study also stated
that the detectin and control of capital flight will result
in the minimization of income tax evasion and import duty fraud.
It will give additional revenues to the treasuries.
This
study also suggests detection and control of captial flight
form India to USA. Acroding to the study India should adopt
a transaction based audit and inspection programe, so as to
able to control and determine both the level of physical inspection
and the means of inspection that will result inmost cost effective
monitoring of the international trade and most importantly detection
of capital flight.
Press
Secretary
IIF Business School |
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