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NEW
DELHI, March 15(UNI)- Professor J. D. Agarwal, director, Indian
Institute of Finance (IIF) has said that the provision to
allow import of gold upto five kg and imposition of a custom
duty at the rate of the 15 per cent payable in foreign exchange
and the simultaneous introduction of the Gold Bond Scheme
would help in controling inflation in the country.
Talking
on UNI, Prof. Agarwal said this would also boost the growth
by reducing money supply in the country to the extent of around
Rs 8000 crore, which is likely to be used to bring the gold.
This investment may be forthcoming out of black money which
is currently being generated in the economy and is responsible
for the failure of various government prescriptions to control
inflation and boost growth.
The
partial convertibility of the rupee would also have a positive
effect to control inflation, he said.
The
two factors would jointly stop the havala transactions and
smuggling Similarly, it would help the domestic users also
as the prices of gold has come down, as also the difference
between the official rate and market rate of the foreign exchanges.
It
is expected that in due course of time the prices of gold
would further come down to more or less at the international
price level. Similarly the decline in foreign exchange official
and market rate would make the havala transaction totally
non-lucrative he added.
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Prof.
Agarwal advocated that these steps might lead to sharp decline
in the demand for pound sterling and US dollars abeoad as
the Non-Resident Indian's would now be keesn on bringing gold
to India rather than any other consumer durables.
This
could lead to release of foreign exchange abroad by the NRI's
to buy gold and towards the payment of its duty to India.
The
Indian Government is expected to earn around Rs 750 crore
in foreign exchange through this scheme, he said.
Apart
from this on a rough estimate around 200 metric tonnes of
gold is being illegally brought into the country at an estimated
price of around $2.26 dollar as the smuggling become non-profitable
so a major chunk business would not be required, he said.
The
legally imported gold would lead to higher employment opportunities
for the jewellers and would earn more exports revenue for
the country, he feft.
If
these steps were implemented the Indian rupee could get back
some respectability among the other foreign currencies in
the world over a period of the next twenty four months, Prof
Agarwal hoped.
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